jmoiron plays the blues

@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: Anthropic/OpenAI et al. are tech companies. They sell technology. They have huge capex, training models, building new data centers, etc. A lot of people in the know are adamant that inference is profitable. The opex that sustains their revenue isn't high in comparison to their v...
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: Uber's VC money was essentially used to subsidize opex. The biggest problem was that they wanted tech company valuation multiples, so they made a ton of unnecessary software capex to sell that story. They sorted that out, but the prices had to go up once VC funds dried up; opex ...
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: Many assume the $20 Claude/Codex plans are the "Uber" model, where everyone gets hooked on $5 cab rides until the VC money runs out and they "tune" the pricing to produce a profit. This isn't impossible, but I'm not sure it's fits.
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: In SaaS, it's often true that power "economy class" users are not profitable, but in aggregate, the economy class itself is. These users are a PITA; they raise 90% of your support issues, they are entitled, and they are losing you money. Engaging with them helps you improve your...
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: The "economy class" customers get basically the same product, just like economy class passengers still get to their destination. Early on, this drives brand awareness, word of mouth marketing, etc. Some will eventually become future business class customers.
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: A lot of b2b saas use the economies of the "business class" model, where large business customers get marginally better service than individuals but for a much higher unit price. The actual value of your product is a multiplier, and you're pricing that.
@jmoiron.bsky.social Exhibit N. I've never seen anything that suggests we know, even approximately, what the margins are on cost-per-token inference. These companies have their own datacenters, so their opex is all sunk and inelastic. Unused capacity is just wasted money, usage that doesn't induce ...
@jmoiron.bsky.social Doesn't seem like a popular sentiment, but hugops for all the people at GitHub who have been struggling to keep the site going. They're not involved in whatever product decisions everyone seems to hate, and they bear the brunt of the burden to keep the wheels on.
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: Got my FOE on quite a lot w/ the first EO, but it was in the last batch of DS games that didn't have to compete with smart phones. Played it mostly on the bus. Doubt I'd bother now; I can't go back to Shiren or Torneko no Daibouken. IMHO Japan has a whole genre of games best pla...
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: Honestly it starts slow and I couldn't really get into it despite several attempts. I guess I felt the same way, but I'm not who I thought I was after all.
@jmoiron.bsky.social I'm not a "petty theft & fare evasion is fine, actually" guy, and I'm desperate for public transit wins in the US... but surely the solution to anti-social behavior in public spaces can't be to eliminate public spaces.
@jmoiron.bsky.social I have one of this artist's paintings. The flowers are all formed by dripping paint onto the canvas, which gives it an appealing texture in person. I like the vibrancy of his recent work. He produces a ton of pieces, eg: galleriapalmaarte.it/en/artisti/j...
jmoiron/metasync main 769d336 get some js testing set, plan out implementation for a gphotos like scroll control
jmoiron/metasync main 7602cfd sadly switch to js based rendering for photos which has the benefit of rendering the correct grouping up front and is massively faster
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: The claude code pro rug pull definitely feels imminent despite their backpedaling. If the frontier models are essentially $100/mo, local inference starts to look competitive even for use cases like coding agents whose uses are more sporadic and interactive.
@jmoiron.bsky.social replied: Didn't even know about jemalloc tailing off. Perhaps it's implied by its introduction via gperftools, but tcmalloc is great for observability. Back in the day I had a lot of stuff using RocksDB via FFI and I was able to (eventually) produce full traces across language boundaries...
jmoiron/metasync main a2b7877 some major perf fixes to photo grouping that happens onload when you are viewing by session, and an experiment with using a manual virtual dom approach
@jmoiron.bsky.social Very healthy political environment we have where Mamdani proposing a tax on $5m+ pied-a-terre apartments is Stalinism, but randomly taxing nearly every imported good to the tune of $166B via an obviously illegal process of executive fiat is a nothingburger that causes no outrage ...